Sinaloa

Extreme

Mexico · Mexican state · capital Culiacán

Risk score
114
composite (0–110)
Homicides / 100k
28
annual rate
Population
3,026,900
Active groups
4
with known territorial presence

Situation

Internal Sinaloa Cartel war between Chapitos and Mayos since July 2024. Culiacán under near-curfew conditions; ambushes and disappearances daily.

Trade exposure

USMCA tracker →
US-side restrictions affecting this state
  • ActiveTomato · Antidumping· US Commerce
    Tomato Suspension Agreement terminated — 17.09% antidumping duty
    Jul 14, 2025 · ongoing

    Commerce withdrew from the 1996 Tomato Suspension Agreement, imposing a 17.09% antidumping duty on fresh Mexican tomatoes. Sinaloa accounts for ~50% of MX tomato exports to the US; Sonora and BCN supply winter greenhouse tomatoes. Florida growers backed the move; Texas distributors and US restaurants opposed.

Cartel exposure on local sectors

Political integrity

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  • AllegedConflict of interest · May 07, 2026
    Cano Félix — Sinaloa governor's son-in-law in Pemex executive role
    Jorge Antonio Cano Félix (Pemex executive) · Morena (family) · Rubén Rocha Moya (Governor of Sinaloa) · Morena
    Sectors: energy, fuel-huachicol

    Emeequis investigation: Cano Félix's asset declaration shows coastal-land purchases in Sinaloa, nine vehicles, and partnerships in private companies — including a firm with a SENER hydrocarbon-import permit — while holding a Pemex executive position. Surfaced May 2026 by Jorge Gómez.

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Active armed groups

Coordinates

Lat
25.17
Lon
-107.48