S
Sonora Intel
—

Coahuila

Moderate

Mexico · Mexican state · capital Saltillo

Risk score
48
composite (0–110)
Homicides / 100k
11
annual rate
Population
3,146,800
Active groups
1
with known territorial presence

Situation

Significant decline in violence post-Zetas. CDN (Cartel del Noreste) active in border zones. Piedras Negras crossing.

Trade exposure

USMCA tracker →
US-side restrictions affecting this state
  • ActiveManufacturing / maquila · Labor (USMCA Annex 31-A)· USTR / DOL
    USMCA Annex 31-A labor rapid-response cases (auto + aerospace)
    Mar 01, 2025 · ongoing

    USTR has filed 30+ rapid-response labor cases since 2021 against MX maquila plants (auto, aerospace, electronics) for denial of free-association rights. Findings can trigger import suspension on goods from the specific facility — has happened to GM Silao, Atento, VU Manufacturing. Not a sectoral ban but a per-plant tool.

  • ActiveSteel & aluminum · Tariff· USTR
    Section 232 steel & aluminum tariffs reinstated
    Feb 10, 2025 · ongoing

    25% steel and 10% aluminum tariffs reinstated under Section 232 national-security authority. Coahuila (Altos Hornos / Monclova) and the Monterrey corridor are most exposed; Edomex industrial belt and Puebla auto-supply manufacturing ride the second-order shock through bumper / chassis input costs.

  • ActiveCattle / beef · SPS / sanitary· USDA APHIS
    USDA APHIS suspends Mexican cattle imports — New World Screwworm
    Nov 22, 2024 · ongoing

    USDA halted live-cattle imports from Mexico after NWS detections moved north of Veracruz, Oaxaca and Chiapas. Sonora and Chihuahua exporters lost roughly USD 500M/month at peak. Partial reopenings rolled through 2025 contingent on screwworm-prevention protocols (sterile-fly releases, quarantine pens, dipping vats); Sonora ports of entry resumed first.

Cartel exposure on local sectors

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Active armed groups

Coordinates

Lat
27.06
Lon
-101.71